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Insane Betting Myths

Analyzing The Insane Betting Myths That Are Actually True

There are plenty of different tips that professional handicappers use when advising bettors to wager in the betting lines, and one of the constantly recurring themes in most betting forums is that gamblers should keep away from myths. Here, we aren’t preaching a different gospel; we are all for shunning most of these myths. I mean, why would I believe these constant talks about sportsbooks Analyzing The Insane Betting Myths That Are Actually True There are plenty of different tips that professional handicappers use when advising bettors to wagfixing games with players and teams when I practically live off the money I make every day in my betting endeavors? Yes, I know games are rigged, like the way New England’s Tom Brady liaised with whoever to do whatever on his footballs in that game against the Colts, but to the best of my knowledge—and I know a lot—there is no sportsbook that is yet to be implicated in that Deflategate scandal. Just think of it, if Brady knew that he’d get a lot of advantage from underinflated balls, don’t you think he’d have conspired with a handful of sportsbook odds to benefit from it being the “winner” that he is? Anyway, that’s besides what I am trying to put across; my point is that most myths are useless and time-wasting, but some of them—like the ones detailed below—are actually true.

Lines Movements are More Influenced by the Market than Teams

While teams strengths, the manner in which they play and issues such as injuries and suspensions influence betting lines; most line movements are largely based on the public betting action and opinions, along with Wiseguy money. This is also true for popular teams like the Golden State Warriors in the NBA or the New England Patriots in the NFL, who tend attract a lot of action on sportsbooks as favorites, with the market pounding hard on them and often leading to a drop in their lines. Insane Betting Myths

Most Gamblers Bet the OVER

There’s probably nothing insane about this, but to think that over 70 percent of recreational bettors, especially those who are new to the betting world, I are estimated to bet on OVER is just plain crazy. With so much money spent on sports like basketball, soccer and hockey on the defensive side of the ball, you’d expect bettors to at least consider that defenses will figure in games and lead to a number of UNDERs. Fortunately or unfortunately, research has it that most people love high-scoring games and that often influences their betting decisions, as they channel their expectations into the betting lines and wager mostly on the OVER, even in instances that it is ill-advised to do so. But then again, you wouldn’t really blame these bettors, would you? I mean, with players like Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo known to be goal-machines in soccer and the likes of Stephen Curry known to light it up in the NBA, your mind can easily be wired to expect high-scores whenever such players take to the field. Insane Betting Myths

Analyzing The Insane Betting Myths That Are Actually True There are plenty of different tips that professional handicappers use when advising bettors to wag

Betting Trends in College Sports are Usually Sharper than in the Pros

Going by the competitive nature of sports in the Pros, going on long winnings streaks or keeping certain trends intact is usually very hard. In college sports, it’s the exact opposite, with most dominant teams staying dominant year-in, year-out while the underwhelming schools continue to struggle, irrespective of roster turnovers. A good example here is the Florida State Seminoles football team that won 29 straight games between 2012–2014, including a national championship in the 2012-13 season. The other example is the Kansas Jayhawks basketball team that hasn’t won the national championship since 2008, but boasts of a ridiculous 206–9 ( .958) win record at their home court, the Allen Fieldhouse, under head coach Bill Self, a record that includes win streaks of 69, 33, and a currently-active streak of 40 entering the 2016 season. When you play Kansas at home, it is therefore almost given that the Jayhawks will be winning that game.

First Games in the Pro Leagues are Risky to Bet On
On one hand, the fact that teams are often in transition during the preseason or at the start of the season comes with the advantage that you can find lines that aren’t so sharp, which can lead to good profits. On the other hand, surprises come aplenty during the start of the season, including false-starters, underrated teams playing well and overrated teams underwhelming with iffy performances. As such, it is advisable to be keep away from these lines—like NBA and NFL preseason—unless you are really sure that you’ve covered your bases.

Insane Betting Myths

Why Bet on South Dakota State

Why Bet on South Dakota State?

South Dakota State, the No. 8 team in the FCS preseason rankings, finished 8-4 last season and fell to Montana, 24-17, in the first round of the FCS playoffs. Both SDSU and TCU posted victories over Kansas last season. SDSU won, 41-38, in its season opener in Lawrence, Kan. TCU defeated the Jayhawks 23-17 on Nov. 14 in Fort Worth.

Why Bet on South Dakota State? South Dakota State, the No. 8 team in the FCS preseason rankings, finished 8-4 last season and fell to Montana, 24-17, in the first round of the FCS playoffs. Both SDSU and TCU posted victories over Kansas last season. SDSU won, 41-38, in its season opener in Lawrence, Kan. TCU defeated the Jayhawks 23-17 on Nov. 14 in Fort Worth.SDSU quarterback Taryn Christion, a sophomore, begins his first full season as the Jackrabbits’ starter. Christion, who posted a 3-1 record as a starter last year, won the starting job in fall drills. in 2015, Christion ranked second on team with 1,286 passing yards and third on squad with 347 rushing yards.

He was named MVFC Newcomer of the Week after throwing for 221 yards and a touchdown and running for 99 yards and a score in Oct. 10 debut versus Indiana State. He repeated as MVFC Newcomer of the Week the next week at Youngstown State as he scored on a 70-yard run and completed 8-of- 14 passes for 122 yards and a touchdown. Finally, Christion started the team’s FCS playoff game at Montana and finished the afternoon 18-of- 43 passes for 230 yards and a touchdown to go along with 19 carries for 54 yards and a touchdown.

South Dakota State returns its top three running backs from a season ago — all of whom recorded at least 100-yard rushing game. Junior Brady Mengarelli led the team with 742 rushing yards — averaging 5.8 yards per carry — and added 23 receptions for 232 yards, while finding the end zone a total of eight times – six on the ground and two through the air. Senior Kyle Paris, who finished second on the team with 428 yards rushing, and Isaac Wallace, who tallied 198 yards on the ground, also are back South Dakota State is 4-6 in its last 10 openers, including a 1-3 mark against FBS opponents.
Why Bet on TCU?

Obviously the Frogs are much more talented. Replacing Boykin at QB will be Texas A&M transfer Kenny Hill. Hill, the starting quarterback at Texas A&M for eight games in 2014, had been competing with third- year sophomore Foster Sawyer for the job. Hill succeeded Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel at A&M in 2014 and achieved immediate stardom as a sophomore, breaking the school’s single-game passing record with 511 yards in a blowout road win over then-No. 9 South Carolina in his first career start. He threw for 2,649 yards and 23 touchdowns on almost 67 percent passing during his stint as the Aggies’ starting quarterback and led the team to a 5-0 start. But he was benched after a three-game losing streak capped by a 59-0 loss at Alabama. He eventually was suspended and left.

The Horned Frogs return 13 starters (seven defensive, six offensive) from last season. That total doesn’t include six starters (four defensive, two offensive) who were sidelined for the year due to injury. The Horned Frogs have the Big 12’s best overall record (23-3) and conference mark (15-3) over the last two seasons.

Why Bet on South Dakota State

TCU is 11-4 in season debuts under Gary Patterson. The Horned Frogs have won their last two season openers and 11 of the past 13, including victories over No. 5 Oklahoma in 2005 and No. 22 Oregon State in 2010. The Frogs have won their last 14 home openers for the nation’s fifth-longest active streak, trailing only Florida (27), Illinois (19), Arizona State (17) and Arizona (16).
My Expert Pick

SDSU isn’t a bad FCS team but it isn’t going to Fort Worth and keeping things close. Give the points on NCAA football odds.

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